July 14, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
2 |
Black Light |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
3 |
Direct Order |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
9 |
Big Tasty |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Motowncharlybrown |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3C |
10 |
Ole Mole |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
2 |
Billy Youre Fired |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
1 |
Whose Baby Is That |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2X |
5 |
Attentive |
1.60 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
4 |
Jump for Alex |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
3 |
Risque’s Affair |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Big Saver |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
6 |
Tipyourwaiterwell |
1.20 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Elevated |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Alturist |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ninetyeightoctane |
1.20 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Avalanche Rock |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Totaled the Benz |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Don’t Make It Easy |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Boilermaker |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
3 |
Tuffgirlsdontcry |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
8 |
Gina’s Honey |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1A |
6 |
The Circle Game |
2.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
7 |
Nureyevs Ballerina |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
9 |
Not in the Mood |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
10 |
Promised Storm |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Prosperity Gal |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
1 |
Scarola |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
2 |
Step N Out |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shandalar |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Vow’s Son |
1.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gran Fortress |
2.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
First Degree Burn |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Swag (JPN) |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zenobio’s Gold |
3.50 |
5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Case the Place |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Joe the Boss |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
De Punta a Punta |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Miss Star Lo |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Best Life |
1.80 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Simuladora |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hello Moon |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pastiche |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sunny My Way |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kendyl Elizabeth |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
High Math |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Triangulate |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Silver Assault |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Distinctive Ride |
1.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Prep Pride |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Insider |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Corsario |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sea Swap |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ironbound |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Spring Emperor |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Deal Driven |
1.80 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
In Equality |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
County Corrections |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Speaker John |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
The Morning Guys |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Only You |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
To the Victor |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flying Rocket |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
10 |
Conquest So True |
1.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
3 |
I’m Thirsty |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Pink Elephant |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yes Mz Adah |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1A |
4 |
Marnesia Big Girl |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
11 |
10 |
Ultimate Avary |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Headed for Heaven |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Superling |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cruisewithbrandon |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
Unbridled Escape |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thump |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
4 |
3 |
Faithinvictoria |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Shemakesmehappy |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Katy Drama |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sensational Toy |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Aussie Mist |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Saint Main Event |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Doctorsofmischief |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bobby’s Song |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Perfect Cocktail |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Girl Powder |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Silver Excess |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Ten Silver Dollars |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
For Later |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Kissesrgettnlouder |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bourbon Honey |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lucky Meeting |
1.60 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Edfitzatmahle’sbar |
12.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Exotic Appeal |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
11 |
10 |
Miss Racey Bike |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Julie’s Indy |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mi Gal Fren |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
9 |
Danceforthedevil |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.