July 14, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Enasoit | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Demon Buster | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Turbin | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Minor Legend | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jifquick | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tens Wild | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Icelake | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mountain Cry | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brute Force | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mischievous Dan | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Paul | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Come Sundown | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Absolved | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Thatwouldbegrand | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Outofthepark | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grand River | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cool Man Cletus | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hall Pass | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bowman’s Beast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jeezum Jim | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Laythatpistoldown | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kaitain | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Minister’s Strike | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All I Karabout | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ten Hut | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | No Knock Raid | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Net | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arch Revenge | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Virginia Fable | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reality Queen | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lyrical Tale | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Love Affair | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Salt Pond | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miminegash | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Appeal | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Lantern | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Top of Mind | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrioroftheroses | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bonus Points | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Final Prospect | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Southside Warrior | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tiz a Diamond | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Darcy Mae | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Liberale (FR) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Sunset | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flyingontheground | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proudly | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bodega Bay | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lulu’s On the Move | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Splendor Gal | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justa Scoch | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Belle ‘n Tonic | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Aunt Mitzi | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cosa Dolce | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Crazy Wild Bill | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Hayne’s Fever | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Patriot Saint | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lay It On | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zesty Zar | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | King of the Jungle | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patriotic Quest | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Words of a Feather | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Lady by Choice | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Majestic Reason | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hell of Afire | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phantom Shot | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Heelstothesky | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chauncey | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sarah’s Treasure | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little United | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Derecho | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | One Proud Wildcat | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Brickyard Kitten | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Heiko | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Bay Bridge | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Daystrike | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Feel Proud | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mythos | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Here’s Johnny | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Scrapple | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fire Mission | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Rock and Fellers (ARG) | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Showalter | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Midtowncharlybrown | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Measured | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chief of Staff | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10A | 10 | Holiday Hopes | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dorcas Carey | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Nightmare | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Chazelle | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Animalistic | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oh So Lovely | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shall Try | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brigid’s Cross | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Parched Ghost | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Catdamblue | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Say Lucky | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Andthentheresthat | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.