July 14, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Enasoit 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Demon Buster 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Turbin 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Minor Legend 4.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Jifquick 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Tens Wild 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Icelake 8.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Mountain Cry 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Brute Force 15.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Mischievous Dan 15.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Uncle Paul 12.00 SCRATCH
7A 7 Come Sundown 3.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Absolved 2.00 2.1 4-1
6A 5 Thatwouldbegrand 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Outofthepark 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 3 Grand River 4.50 3.9 7-1
8 6 Cool Man Cletus 15.00 4.5 9-1
3 2 Hall Pass 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bowman’s Beast 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Jeezum Jim 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Laythatpistoldown 1.80 1.9 4-1
2 2 Kaitain 4.50 3.1 6-1
10 8 Minister’s Strike 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 All I Karabout 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 6 Ten Hut 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 7 No Knock Raid 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Storm Net 10.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Arch Revenge 12.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Virginia Fable 1.60 1.9 4-1
8 8 Reality Queen 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Lyrical Tale 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Stormy Love Affair 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Salt Pond 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Miminegash 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Street Appeal 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Happy Lantern 12.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Top of Mind 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Warrioroftheroses 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Bonus Points 1.60 3.3 6-1
4 4 Final Prospect 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Southside Warrior 5.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Tiz a Diamond 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Darcy Mae 2.50 2.2 4-1
11 10 Liberale (FR) 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Lovely Sunset 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Flyingontheground 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Proudly 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Bodega Bay 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Lulu’s On the Move 12.00 6.4 12-1
10 9 Splendor Gal 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Justa Scoch 15.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Belle ‘n Tonic 20.00 7.9 15-1
12 11 Aunt Mitzi 20.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cosa Dolce 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Crazy Wild Bill 3.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Hayne’s Fever 1.40 2.4 5-1
2 2 Patriot Saint 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Lay It On 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Zesty Zar 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 King of the Jungle 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Patriotic Quest 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Words of a Feather 30.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Lady by Choice 2.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Majestic Reason 1.80 3.4 6-1
4 3 Hell of Afire 6.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Phantom Shot 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Heelstothesky 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Chauncey 15.00 5 9-1
5 4 Sarah’s Treasure 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 5 Little United 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Derecho 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 One Proud Wildcat 4.50 SCRATCH
4 2 Brickyard Kitten 1.80 2.5 5-1
10 8 Heiko 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 1 Bay Bridge 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 7 Daystrike 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 6 Feel Proud 4.50 4.8 9-1
7 5 Mythos 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 4 Here’s Johnny 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 3 Scrapple 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fire Mission 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Rock and Fellers (ARG) 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Showalter 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Midtowncharlybrown 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 1 Measured 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Chief of Staff 5.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10A 10 Holiday Hopes 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Dorcas Carey 2.50 2.5 5-1
1A 1 Nightmare 2.00 3.1 6-1
11 10 Chazelle 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Animalistic 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Oh So Lovely 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Shall Try 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Brigid’s Cross 12.00 7 13-1
12 11 Parched Ghost 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Catdamblue 15.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Just Say Lucky 20.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Andthentheresthat 20.00 9.4 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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