July 14, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Low Is Laine |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Third Card Down |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Lady of Miracles |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
J C S Star |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Catania Rose |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Saturdaynightfling |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Day Wife |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wild With Style |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Frederica |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
Princess Rashelle |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pebbles Cove |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Town Fair |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Reconsider It |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Smart Throb |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Gotcha Gabin |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Merlins Muse |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Speed Khaleesi |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
The Giant’s Vow |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hot Possebility |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Justenuff Hope |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Truly Courageous |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Protect the King |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Candy Road |
50.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Rockville Centre S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
La Fuerza |
0.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
What the Luck |
1.60 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bustin Mach Four |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hushion |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Red Zinger |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Forest Blue |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ranger in Paradise |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lex Vegas |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Voluntario |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Missle Bomb |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Major League |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Will Did It |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Karma Delight |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pegasus Red |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Mango M |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Packed House |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bad Guy |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pirelli Tower |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Panic Attack |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Paynter’s Prize |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Millies Party Boy |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fair Archer |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Riendo |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Curlin’s Legacy |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Partagas B C |
20.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
10 |
10 |
Golconda |
30.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Enthusiastic Gal |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tiz R Bella |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Questeq |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Acorn Street |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tanda’s Joy |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Discreet Image |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kat O Mine |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Missimard |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Alley to Calvary |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Impazible Creek |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Elegant Jem |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Honey Graeme |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Say Cin Cin |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Magari |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
My Girl Annie |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Princess Mikayah |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
She’sakittykat |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Rumble Doll |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Team of Teams |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Aunt Babe |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Malibu Stacy |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
6 |
Epping Forest |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jc’s Shooting Star |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
5 |
Miss Gossip (IRE) |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Sylphide |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Boos (FR) |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Forbidden Apple S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Disco Partner |
1.80 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Projected (GB) |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Offering Plan |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Voodoo Song |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pocket Change |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blind Ambition |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mr Havercamp |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Posse’s Paradise |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Puffin Patty |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Reyana Reya Dreams |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Tequila Sunday |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Queen Apollo |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
13 |
12 |
Dazzling Speed |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Trinni Ninja |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lightworker |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Long Eyelashes |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Troffissio |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
10 |
Spontaneous |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
10 |
9 |
Gentle Annie |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
5 |
Chenais’ Posse |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
7 |
6 |
Sweet Green |
30.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
12 |
11 |
First Dawn |
50.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.