July 13, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Honor Indy |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Awesome Class |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tropicality |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pray Pray Pray |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dappled |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Glorious Freedom |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pikes Peak Or Bust |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Crespucula |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
La Titina |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bienville Street |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Ercolano |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Sky Knight |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Simmardstrike |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Soldollie |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Sky Point |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Super Jak |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wild Colonial Boy |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Awesome Stack |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
McManaman |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Accumulator |
1.20 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Global Hero |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Spirit Love |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Aristteles |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Admiral Jimmy |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Scraps |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Joe Di Baggio |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Homedrill |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Riley Rules |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Starship Mufasa |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vijay |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Louder Than Bombs |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Papa Y |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Return |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sara’s Day |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Untruthful Sonnet |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Salsa Rita |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hannah Catherine |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Derby Day Darling |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Sweet Lorraine |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Fun and Games |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Fast Mama |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Faithful Sue |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Two Step Blues |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Puro Blanco |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Givonna’s Magic |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Along the Trail |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Captain Carol |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dancing Starlet |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shez a Great One |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dudicious |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Song of Melody |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Dancing Noelle |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Star Mily |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Forty Kilos |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Freakin’ Me Out |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Miss Stalwart |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Eternal Tempest |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Riomar |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Cautious Giant |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mo Cash |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Silver Defense |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Friend Flavin |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Splash Rules |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Diamond Oops |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Baba Tobi |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Harryhee |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Express Jet |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Giant Dilemma |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Shidoshi |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ours Dream Fly |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Windat |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Forty Hits |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Granted Storm |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rain Storm |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fireball Run |
12.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rigo |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Weaponized |
30.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
War Pipe |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
Judge Hudson |
20.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.