July 13, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Daria’s Angel | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paula’s Pistol | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caoimhe | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stars Wilburn | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Preziosa | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Driven by Speed | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eloweasel | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kreesie | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Inheritance | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itsinthestars | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Boss | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Anna Rae | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Archumybaby | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Won Love | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Got Out | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Fond | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Woundwithhereyes | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Reyana Reya Delite | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Single Mission | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Smart and Sassy | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Silveratta Road | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fancycase | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crater Rim | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Courageous Change | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Needs No Ice | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Uconnmarsh | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Heater | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Canarsie Kid | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mission Command | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Excluded | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Chance | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Asset | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cody’s Notes | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Francis Freud | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chosen One Elijah | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Strong Side | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Charnley River (AUS) | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rappel | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Linburgh’s Kitten | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bootlegger (FR) | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Maquina Gris | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Lights | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Get Game | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | River Knight | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Always His Way | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forever Daisy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wantagh Queen | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Treasure | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Sweet | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Scripted | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Orchid Party | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spa Treatment | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Citizen Matzo | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Headfirst | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Amber Dancer | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Shrink | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreams Are Pazible | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Saginaw S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Twisted Tom | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wine Not | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hit It Once More | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pat On the Back | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fullback Foye | 50.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | American Ninja | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Freudian Analyst | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Scatsuku | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rough Justice | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tammany Giant | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11A | 9 | Leading Storm | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Victory’s Cash | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lewyville | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | This Cat Can Fly | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Nuclear Code | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Pequeno Grande | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Straitouta Congtin | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.