July 12, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Binkster | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Single Gem | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of Mist | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lake Party | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shipsandgoods | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vip Nation | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Proportionality | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Cause Me Grief | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Regal Dame | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Miss Jen | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tiz Priceless | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blissful Breeze | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gia Michael | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | In Denile | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starlite Mission | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Great Johanna | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | March Two Madness | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mrs. Orb | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Party in the Sand | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Adversary | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Analyzethisandthat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Just Right | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Trance | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Stop Me If You Can | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lutsky | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9A | 7 | Center City | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lost in Manhattan | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Taptaptap | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Greg King of Kool | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | It’s Hot Out | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fast Getaway | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Neverindicted | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Starry Messenger | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Spectacular Kid | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Source Control | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Looking Ready | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Discretionary Marq | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sparky | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moses Supposes | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outrageous Bet | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Not So Quiet Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Prophet’s Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Nobody Move | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 5 | Hidden Vow | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mobridge | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vincento | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Set Me Up | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | With Exultation | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Manifest Destiny | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Peculiar Sensation | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sparticle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 5 | Class Won | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Change of Venue | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9A | 8 | You’re Killin Me | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mesotherm | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Roman Revival | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Caretaker | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarf It Down | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Infield Is In | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Land Mine | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Woundwithhereyes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Emmy Performance | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Shaker | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Purely Lucky | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Smart Together | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bengala (FR) | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Cast | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Purrageous Dyna | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Galileo’s Melody | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Tom’s Music | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hustle N Heart | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Metaphorical | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | High Rider | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Flyoff | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Scottsgold | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Freeload | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Proximate to Power | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Huracan | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Justinspeightofit | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Mysterio | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Frosty Martini | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.