Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 12, 2018

July 12, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Binkster 1.40 2.6 5-1
5 5 Single Gem 2.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Tale of Mist 1.60 3.1 6-1
4 4 Lake Party 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Shipsandgoods 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Vip Nation 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Proportionality 6.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Cause Me Grief 2.50 2.4 4-1
3 2 Regal Dame 3.00 3.4 7-1
7 5 Miss Jen 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Tiz Priceless 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Blissful Breeze 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 4 Gia Michael 10.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 In Denile 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Starlite Mission 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 The Great Johanna 2.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 March Two Madness 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Mrs. Orb 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Party in the Sand 10.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Awesome Adversary 20.00 SCRATCH
5A 5 Analyzethisandthat 20.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Just Right 2.50 2.9 6-1
8 6 Trance 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 4 Stop Me If You Can 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Lutsky 3.50 4.4 8-1
9A 7 Center City 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Lost in Manhattan 5.00 5.4 10-1
7 5 Taptaptap 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 3 Greg King of Kool 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 It’s Hot Out 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fast Getaway 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Neverindicted 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Starry Messenger 8.00 SCRATCH
7 4 Spectacular Kid 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 5 Source Control 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 6 Looking Ready 8.00 3.7 7-1
11 7 Discretionary Marq 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 3 Sparky 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Moses Supposes 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Outrageous Bet 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Not So Quiet Man 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Prophet’s Cat 6.00 SCRATCH
6A 6 Nobody Move 2.50 SCRATCH
7A 5 Hidden Vow 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 2 Mobridge 2.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Vincento 4.50 3.9 7-1
9 6 Set Me Up 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 With Exultation 6.00 4.5 8-1
10 7 Manifest Destiny 20.00 5 10-1
4 3 Peculiar Sensation 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sparticle 8.00 SCRATCH
6A 5 Class Won 2.50 3 6-1
8 7 Change of Venue 3.50 3.3 6-1
9A 8 You’re Killin Me 2.50 3.4 6-1
3 2 Mesotherm 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Roman Revival 15.00 5 9-1
4 3 The Caretaker 5.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Scarf It Down 8.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 Infield Is In 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 4 Crea’s Bklyn Law 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Land Mine 0.80 SCRATCH
4 4 Woundwithhereyes 10.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Emmy Performance 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Silver Shaker 2.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Purely Lucky 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Smart Together 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Bengala (FR) 3.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Double Cast 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 7 Purrageous Dyna 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 4 Galileo’s Melody 10.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 1 Tom’s Music 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hustle N Heart 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Metaphorical 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 High Rider 6.00 SCRATCH
9 6 Flyoff 1.40 2 4-1
8 5 Scottsgold 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Freeload 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 1 Proximate to Power 6.00 4.4 8-1
3A 2 Huracan 10.00 4.8 9-1
12 8 Justinspeightofit 30.00 5.1 10-1
10 7 Mysterio 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Frosty Martini 50.00 6.8 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.