July 8, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Joyful Heart | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Way Never (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cotton House | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Teachable Moment | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Factor | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bridgetothefuture | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Got Even | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tapin Mojo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 3 | Imperatore | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Marriage Fever | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rings of Jupiter | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bar None | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Jet Black | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6B | 4 | Adventist | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9B | 7 | Chilly Bon Bon | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Professor Snape | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Have Another | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pop the Hood | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devils Halo | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Call Triple A | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Killybegs Captain | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Psychoanalyze | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Another | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Teryn It Up | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Overnight Success | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carom | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Promise | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heza Kitten | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strategic Outlook | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Last Stage | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Straightaway May | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Truly a Moon Shot | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Go Big Or Go Home | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Basic Hero | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Flatexcel | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beyond Honor | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Anything Pazible | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buss the Bell | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Cat Sam | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Yummy Bear | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major Force | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unlockthepotential | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fig Jelly | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Crocheron Kid | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polar Axis | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Banana Thief | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New York Song | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – River Memories S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Estrechada (ARG) | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summersault | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Violet Blue | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flower Fashion (FR) | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Homeland Security | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Step (FR) | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Not Taken | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Savannah Belle | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rectify | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Speightful Kitten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Freud | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Whatstotalkabout | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Seven | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dezzer | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stolen Pistol | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Global Positioning | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Love That Jazz | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Callant | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chasintheblues | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Victory Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | D J’s Favorite | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cosita Mia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Devine Mischief | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Mia Mischief | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Spectator | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Separationofpowers | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Classy Act | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sower | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Take Charge Paula | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dixie Serenade | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Norma’s Charm | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Shuffling Madness | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Surface Strike | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Accolade | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Time Expired | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Manche | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thank You So Much | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cross Multiply | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bigsouljoel | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | There Goes Jose | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fleet Admiral | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ninja Boys | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Won’t Be Missed | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sir Frost | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.