July 7, 2018 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Train Walk | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mizz Wizz | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battered | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s a Rockstar | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Great Anticipation | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Merlo’s Lad | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Planet | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | A Day Early | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Howard Street | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love My Grammy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twenty Bucks | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Country Cure | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzle Em Hickory | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Portedor | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thisone’sforjimmy | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crimson Jamar | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Delicacy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C Me Stride | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missguts Has Speed | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Dancerella | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Basic Chance | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tin Badge | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zombie | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sure Fire Friend | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hilton Magic | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dale the Bug Man | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovin’ the Rush | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | A P’s Gusto | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue River | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Daddy | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Free Key | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quickley Cat | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rebel Rouser | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smoothmoney | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Prince Charmant | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Smoking Romance | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Desanctus | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rickshaw Express | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mac Attack | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Happened | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Luna Magic | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Ellie’s Girl | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Langstars Charmer | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Asdrubal | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paste | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On My Joy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tao | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Ike | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justa Streak | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Jewel | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smoky Dreams | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Parkes | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboys Ransome | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mide | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Katistrophictoyou | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oprah’s Ranger | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Javu | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jdub’s Jet | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thisboy’sacowboy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be Stormy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Makin My Own Rules | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Native Honor | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.