July 7, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dilly Dedalus | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Morning Wine | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chocolate Candy | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Summer Star | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Red Brook Road | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Coleslittlemonster | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elijah’s Party | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Bluegrass Gold | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Appealing Miss | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Stay West | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Wildly Good Lookin | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Balharbour Miss | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Thirsty | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Axe Capital | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Natalie La Rose | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Joe’s Gift | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Shack | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kowboy Kenny | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mutawasem (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jones Taxi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Brilliant Worth | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Thank You Ricketts | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Legacy’s Prince | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Jimmy Idontknowya | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Howboutdempats | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Li’l Dude L Do It | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Team Ribot | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Pellagrino | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hatteras Bound | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Harbor | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Controlled Fury | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | John’s Legacy | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Best Choice | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speedy A. P. | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bennyluvspoker | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skeet Shot | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dig That Mine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | These Blues | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | G Zap | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Seat of Honor | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indygo Breeze | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dazzling Okie | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sight Line | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mbrace Grace | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Try Flying | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Turf Amazon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Isabella Swift | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Boos (FR) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Smiling Causeway | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pretty Perfection | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Blue Bahia | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quick Thinking | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Goldwood | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’s Stunning | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bertranda | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Greasedlightning | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Mia Bella Rossa | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookingforanewspot | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Luxicharm | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Gobi | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Skyline Drive | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Doctorsofmischief | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mercy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady by Choice | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tale of Promise | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Weekend Babe | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Parx Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forman the Foreman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tribalist | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Vision Perfect | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pure Sensation | 1.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bold Thunder | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Oak Bluffs | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Pool Winner | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dubini | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Nice Tune | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Uncle Leo | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ready for Rye | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Louisiana Brown | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cause for Surprise | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sparticle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Retrograde | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Appealing Future | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Smokin Nitro | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love Is Your Name | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Drosselmagic | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cinderela El Crome | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | No Drinking Rules | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | True Boldness | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wizard of Odds | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Gemini Man | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Final Blessing | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Family Crest | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Rocks | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Debonaire Man | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shoes N Sox | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lori’s Folly | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mousetrap | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance the Rails | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Edge of Patience | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.