July 6, 2018 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Shabang Baby |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Eurarookie |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fast Machine |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Little Annie |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ledeckygold |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Violation |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mac Attack |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Regalistic |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Thegreatgeneration |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
6 |
Viscosity |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
11 |
8 |
Spanish Avenue |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
7 |
Solanair |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Seven Forty Seven |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Quietly Cuba |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
5 |
Heir Horse One |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Mitchell County |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
2 |
Loosehorse Larry |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Foreststone |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Miss Coco |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Karner Blue |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Gilded |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Easy Nights |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Free and Proud |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Sandraux |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Wild Delilah |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Taima Thunder |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Pioneer Spirit |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Holiday Man |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
7 |
Pinson |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Leofric |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sky Defence |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Underpressure |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
8 |
Toasting Master |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Strong Yen |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sightforsoreeyes |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
No Holds Barred |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Iowa Stallion Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Topper T |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zofia |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Substitution |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pepe’ Longstocking |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cactus Rules |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bye Love Gotta Go |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Okie Jokey |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Goloso |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
You Zip It |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Claude’s Choice |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Iowa Chrome |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Iowa Sprint H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Heartwood |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Wilbo |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Westfest |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Done Deal |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Cool Arrow |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Apprehender |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Unbridled Outlaw |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Eurobond |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cash Bonus |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Iowa Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Lionite |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
High North |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Tabulator |
4.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mr Freeze |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cool Bobby |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fort Peck |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Battle At Sea |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Believe in Royalty |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Prairie Meadows Cornhusker H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Dr. Dorr |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Dalmore |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
McCraken |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Irish Freedom |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Thirstforlife |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Hence |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Matrooh |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Remembering Rita |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Krewe Chief |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Shackette |
1.20 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Native d’Oro |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nasty Native |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Iowa Hold’em |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Royally Adorable |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Geertz’s Gal |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Susan’s Reward |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Just Fred |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crooked as Can Be |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Oriental Crown |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Holdmegold |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dynabeaver |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Risky Forest |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Repent With Me |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.