July 6, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Change of Venue | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Make the Rules | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Herecomesyourman | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fact Check | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zefiro | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hoard | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Too Much Data | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nutzforboltz | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lia Shivani | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Money Purse | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neon | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Abeja Negra | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiffany’s Vision | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Know Point Given | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flying Pleasantly | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – State Dinner S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Timeline | 1.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You’re to Blame | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giuseppe the Great | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunny Ridge | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frammento | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sexyama | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Isabelle’s Joy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Global Exchange | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Speedy Solution | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Andrea’s Pride | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | South of France | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Jolie Bay | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kintra | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Shannon’s Girl | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jazzy J | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trish the Dish | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Technicality | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Alright Alright | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sol the Freud | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5B | 5 | Too Fast to Pass | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 4 | Data Driven | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Getoffmyback | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Saratoga Heater | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Bobby On Fleek | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4B | 2 | Toohottoevenspeak | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Carom | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Eagle Pass | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 9 | Last Stage | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Identity Politics | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8A | 6 | Greek Alphabet | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | End of Spirits | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Turnstyle | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Constant Knight | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pawn It Back | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Venerable Bede | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Payne | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Point to Remember | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Illudere | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hot Sriracha | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aqwaam | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Throw the Fade | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candirita | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lonhtwist | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hersh | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jewel Can Disco | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Zealous | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Daddy D T | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Life in Shambles | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Phi Beta Express | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Masked | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Our Independence | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Get a Valentine | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | End Play | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | English Minister | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Blessed Halo | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Simon Bar Sinister | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battle in Seattle (FR) | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Our Girl Abby | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Anna Rae | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Avery Maeve | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Orecchiette | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Hoponthebusgus | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Samara | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Angel Food | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Naturel (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ultimate Cause | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sheputaspellonme | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Havana Affair | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.