July 5, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Pugsley | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Classy to D’ Bone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Seven Jewels | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sue’s Fortune | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Itsakeyper | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She Will Rock | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gloria Jean | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Athera | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Magnolia | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Quick | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s So Fine | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Dixie Twister | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Puparee | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bartletts Mark | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dustin’s Comet | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mad Munnys | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Giant Rubies | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pay the Price | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seediskid | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crypto’s Pick | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Expert | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Mathematician | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sargeant Drive | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Argonne | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Midnight Tea Time | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prompt | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Into the Breach | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hampton Point | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wild About Deb | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Glennrichment | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Tricked Up | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ode to the Hunt | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | New Jersey John | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Immunity | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | River of Dreams | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lusitano | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lil Commissioner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Show Me the Bucks | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Morrison | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Themanbehindtheman | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pillar Mountain (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Admission Office | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | War Chest | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zap Daddy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Have At It | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Formal Start | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Elios Milos | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New York Hero | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Inalienable Rights | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Love Jaxson | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proletariat | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | O Shea Can U See | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Secret Passage | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Get Jets | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blacktype (FR) | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tapitation | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Abiding Star | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Night Prowler | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Giant Run | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kharafa | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gio Lucky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Flipped | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Wushu Warrior | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rogue Patriot | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Blinded Vision | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vicar’s Legend | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lake Party | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Backstretch George | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.