July 4, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Return |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
My Sweet Lorraine |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Bullet Theblue Sky |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Caribbean Girl |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
Justa Jill |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
2 |
Freckle de Freck |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
5 |
Taco Wayne’s Shot |
20.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
4 |
Inside Trip |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
1 |
Callie California |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
3 |
Miss Lotus Flower |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
First Off |
1.40 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Winning Game |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Faith Flys Again |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Memorize |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Not Nice |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ginger Red |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jessica Clay |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Travy Boy |
1.20 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Golden Kantharos |
2.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Grand Jr |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
West of Eden |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Deneb |
4.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cosmic Flash |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Charzaam |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tempter |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Friendly Fella |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cyrus |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Take Command |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hunters Dream |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
San Diego Slugger |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Goldenlineof |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Florida Two Step |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Chasing the Stars |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Diamond Majesty |
2.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Leroi’s Gem |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Going to the Beach |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Yo No Se |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Soldat’s Storm |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Offshore Trip |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wild Force |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Little Cristian |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Rainfall |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cotton Tooyah |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Violent Nature |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Appealing Lalibela |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Flashndynamite |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Silver Threads |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Super Duper Girl |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Delta Belle |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Hard Worker |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Peace Accord |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Rocky Strange |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dynamic Dancer |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rumbago |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
More Illusions |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Irish Letters |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Colin a Winner |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Beach Treasure |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Don Fager |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Milbra |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Lexi’s Doll |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
Hidden to Win |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
7 |
Tiuna |
1.80 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Loving Valentina |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Luna Lunita |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Diana’s Comprise |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dreaming of Aca |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Alice’s Girls |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
False Accusation |
1.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
My Rules |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ox Bro |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Billy Big (IRE) |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Paco Ensaco |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Whistle Me Home |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Keppel Bay |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stay in Cruise |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ed’s Dog |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Master Rory |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Richest Gifts |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Pokerist |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Uncle Mace |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Salty Kinda Dog |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Secret Life Style |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Steve’s Sonata |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dreamin of d’Wild |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Joe Cain |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lovingrdsimmar |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Madison Blues |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Balada |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Sympathetic |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Mi Cuaima |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Final Flurry |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Tapa Liath |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Plein Air |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
Teri’s Big Heart |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Reagan’s Odyssey |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Herecomestheghost |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Forlove |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
Cool Maiara |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
7 |
White Beauty |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Queen of Swag |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Quaker Maid |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
8 |
Indy Contender |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
11 |
9 |
Nano Link |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Lucille Bull |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
5 |
Monja |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Two Diamonds |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.