July 3, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Survive | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Lucky Charm | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | This Bird Can Sing | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luna d’Avril | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Really | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nothin But Trouble | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Listen | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pink Elephant | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Whogoosedthemoose | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trulamo | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ultimate Avary | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tearless | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Anna May Our Queen | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Headed for Heaven | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thump | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mymomsablond | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marnesia Big Girl | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shekels | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | The Big Giant Head | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cardcounter | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seven Gems | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whenthedovescry | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Court Note | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Vow | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Schliffy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Double Sky | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indian Ghost | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flashonforty | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Triangulate | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prep Pride | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Swap | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Insider | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ironbound | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Threeohtwocassie | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Athelstane | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Downhill Racer | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viking Raider | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indominus Rex | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Abraxon | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Koan | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Late Breaking News | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trilogy | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden State | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peach Alley | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Candy Dance | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love On Fire | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shaunna Alexandra | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Checkbouncin Billy | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Stormy Change | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 1 | C V I Crystal | 1.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Smarty Pi | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 11 | Kid Croft | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Uptempo | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carole’s Rainbow | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Point Lockout | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 7 | Shandalar | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pennyfeather | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2X | 10 | Upandcoming | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 2 | J W Goingtothebank | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Dr. James Penny Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hawksmoor (IRE) | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ultra Brat | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fifty Five | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lift Up | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imply | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truth in the Lies | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | You’re No Saint | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alturist | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Open Bar | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Recalibrating | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Dollar Kitten | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | It Behooves Me | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Real Power | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Joywave | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lure of the South | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Edger Jones | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.