June 28, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Darlin Rosie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Awalkinthemoonlite | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Khatun | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chique to Chique | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sperling | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baltic Star | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Tanks | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Royal Change | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Saturdays Hangover | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Musket Hunter | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heza Tinker | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Parrkaveli | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Shoe | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pocket of Candy | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alex’s Bourbon | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heavens Whisper | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jukebox Money | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin Hot Momma | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arch Away | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Alazan Shiner | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Chicago Blues | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hourly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Greyt Oak | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Volgograd | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Funny Questions | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Croce d’Oro | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suspenders | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Dixie | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Santa Americana | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Rio Seco | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prime | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Devil’s Rose | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Road to Zanzibar | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chosen Facts | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Atlantic Gulch | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Peppermint Ice | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Time for Parading | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Katie’s Warrior | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jinx Johnson | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Running Vicky | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dark Bloom | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Americanperfection | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghost Train | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | U Turn the Page | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Chick | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fringe | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Bold Cat | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Aktabantay (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Royal Commish | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Singingintheheat | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pablo Del Monte | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little Baltar | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Armando’s Star | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | M C Squared | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wake Up Joe | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boom Box | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flashdance Road | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Man Jax | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Desani’s Chance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Valid Storm | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Last Spring | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ya Mon | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Larry Rocks | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Gem City Jewel | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Portico | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Absolutely Holy | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.