Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 24, 2018

June 24, 2018 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Myositis Mystique 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Oro Bird 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Seeyouatthedisco 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Chilean Queen 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Chasing the Buck 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Wood Not Mind 6.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Torri’s On My Mind 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Miss Thirsty City 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Socata 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Skamania 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Playful Union 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Will Ye Go Lassie 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Belleinthecity 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3A 3 Pennyann’s Inn 20.00 SCRATCH
2A 2 Tapit At Ann 20.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Union Obsession 2.00 2.2 4-1
7 5 Blues Corner 4.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Lady Bay 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 4 Georgy Girl 4.00 4.5 9-1
9 7 Miss Lyricist 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 3 Hoptown Honey 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 2 How Creative 10.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Allidoisdreamofyou 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Zulu 1.60 2.5 5-1
7 6 Tonedaddy 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 The Money Monster 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Conquest Hiosilver 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Ceeky 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Dingdingdingding 6.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Caymans Cobra 5.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Morning Stride 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Smart Remark 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Cuestion de Tiempo 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Dubby Dubbie 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Madison’s Luna 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 3 Truth Be Tolled 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Twist Off 1.60 2.1 4-1
7 7 Macha’s Reward 8.00 4 7-1
8 8 Lucky Britches 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Terrible Day (ARG) 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Bode’s Maker 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Long Gray Line 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Huntin Buddy 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Rowdy the Warrior 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tapit City 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Untraceable 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Gray Nile 5.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Red Right Hand 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Bail Out 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Love Sick Kitten 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Orbit Rain 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Sir Sahib 3.50 4.8 9-1
10 9 Yaroslavl 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Dawood 5.00 6.3 12-1
11 10 Trouble Coffee 30.00 7 13-1
1 1 Somebody’s Beau 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 5 Overzealous 15.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Compose 2.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Arcelor 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Barbary Hall 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Ivy’s College Fund 4.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Rise Above It 5.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Racey Reecey 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Parking Ticket 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Secret Trick 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Rose of Malibu 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Whenwillicuagain 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Missseventhirteen 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Hint of Mint 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Lynah Rink 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Beautiful Street 3.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 High Tech 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Lou’s Chardonnay 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Focused 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Chamade 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Frittata 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Celia’s Song 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 American Glory 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Say It Softly 5.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Straitouttapopcorn 15.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Complimenti 8.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Trace 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 J. A. Curlin 10.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Miz Shelton 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Grammajo 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Honey Rose 12.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 She’s So Bossy 15.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Cacahuatita 15.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.