June 23, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Prairie Chick | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Feisty Chi Chi | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rake It Up | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sea Diva | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neuqua | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Betruetoyourschool | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shamelessfi | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mistletoe Miss | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tapnfire | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sanilac | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fionetta | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queenoftheroad | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Artic Vortex | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cooper’s Keeper | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greeleys Angel | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Para Vivir | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hurraca | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pleasant Street | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sacramento Q | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hansen Gone West | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sync O’Paddy | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ed’s Rocket | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Nephews | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bartbaalu | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Francis Leal | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Simsbury | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cerunnos | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sensational Zip | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sailor Brodee | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meanwhile | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Al | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Emperor | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A. P. Royal | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ifeelgood | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Drip Brew | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Notnthemoodforthat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | War Diamond | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Heir Ball | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Rum Tum | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flash N Go | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul Singer | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On Probation | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brittney On Blades | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good Wishes | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sugarsugarsugar | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Over Cabo | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Raisedonrocknroll | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Macho Alpha | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vapor Viper | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hide the Green | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Willow Ridge | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Justenufftuff | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chas Tom | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Changn Fivehundred | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kentucky Shine | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Compact Powder | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Helen Hayes | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Antalya | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Circuit Reboot | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Have the Facts | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Queen Jeanne | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Disrespectful | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ice Princess Emily | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Z U Again | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Silver Skyler | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Ben’s Little Cupid | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Chicago H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Union Strike | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Natural Wonder | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hotshot Anna | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marquee Miss | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess La Quinta | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mines and Magic | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | One Liz | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Miss Nancy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Babybluesbdancing | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kyllachy Queen (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Full of Zip | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oh So Terrible | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Starlight Express | 50.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Portico | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Close Behind | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Demopolis | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Musket Hunter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | My Man Jax | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Skycraft | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Bruise | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Camalus | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Road Heat | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alpha Boy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gold Star Kid | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Perfect Joe | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.