June 21, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cumberland River | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carrick | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Not in Charge | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sentry | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hills Pond | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bootlegger (FR) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King of Spades | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Potomac | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curlin’s New Moon | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Lotta Wine | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unforeseeable | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bet It All to Win | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arch Contender | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buster Brown Boy | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catenaria | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Maimo | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz No Bluff | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Transistor | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hoard | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin At Blessing | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Soar From Shadows | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brie’s Lucky Charm | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Fun Again | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Osare | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Audrey | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Susan B Anthony (IRE) | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Osheen | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Windjammer (GER) | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Save the Sangria | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Playwright | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Diplodocus | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cookie Crisp | 1.20 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dooley | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Banker’s Island | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Battle Ready | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Street Cat Sam | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Carry Your Heels | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Amber Dancer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Scorpion Bowl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Citizen Matzo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dreams Are Pazible | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Satisfy | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | Awsum Roar | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Hannah’s Smile | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Trouble for Skylar | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Rock Ave. Road | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Treasure | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Birthday Gift | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Forever Daisy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Shrink | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rectify | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Global Positioning | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Asset | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bobby On Fleek | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sal the Turtle | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brimstone | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pegasus Red | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bass River Road | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ostrolenka | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | For Pops | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amabilis (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Special Event | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | New Money Honey | 0.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brooks House | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dynatail | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Arraign | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Carmine’s Honor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Throw the Deuce | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Rough Justice | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Raging Fire | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Now a Factor | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Con Em | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tammany Giant | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Powerstroke | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Mason Factor | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Minus Two | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mr. Skittles | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dustin’s Comet | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.