Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 16, 2018

June 16, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Four Left Feet 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Wake Up Joe 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Gorgeous George 2.50 2 4-1
4 3 Irish Proud 4.00 3.4 7-1
7 5 Nyoman 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 6 Spanish Justice 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Cast Iron 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Electrifying 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jane’s Pride 20.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Track Magic 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Greeleys Delight 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Magic Feet 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 3 Nurse Megan 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Midnite in Miami 4.50 5 9-1
7 6 Bettyblue 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Roman Bird 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fishers Island 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Fonda Romana 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 3 Salty Scatt 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 Antalya 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Broadway Duchess 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 1 Paulette 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Aviating 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Silver Skyler 30.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Springfield S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Demand Ransom 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Pass the Gravy 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Sir Anthony 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Chief Oakie Dokie 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Wile E Peyote 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Dr. Bombay 4.50 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Valya’s Vengeance 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Appealing Allure 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Makada 4.00 SCRATCH
8 5 Gwendalyn Sue 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Regal Serenade 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Spark Joy 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 3 Flashing Tiz 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 4 Bird Key 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Lemon Drop Twist 8.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Moonlight Mischief 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Smokinwatchstopper 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Chicago Blues 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Letthebigshot Roll 2.50 SCRATCH
7 3 Intrepid Humor 8.00 SCRATCH
5 2 Hot Dad 2.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Fort Ridge 15.00 2.7 5-1
8 4 Big Dinner 12.00 2.8 5-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Purple Violet S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jean Elizabeth 2.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Hayworth 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Bramble Queen 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Strollin the Bayou 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Royal’s Position 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Regal Serenade 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Momma Joann 30.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Twin Deuce 30.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 She’s Coal Fired 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Hide and Street 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Allaire 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Sullyvin’s G G 12.00 SCRATCH
9 6 Tam 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 4 Emily’s Entourage 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 5 Meetmeforasmoke 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Je Suis Belle 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 2 Hal’s Mischief 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 3 Wind Cheater 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bar Ryder 3.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Drinkwiththeirish 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Richiesonarampage 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Last Spring 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Heza Tinker 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Diamond Dave 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Vindicated Honor 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Prudent Hero 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 10 Gem City Jewel 30.00 6.6 12-1
10 9 Jennovodka 30.00 7.4 14-1
4 3 The Shoe 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.