June 15, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | J P’s Gia | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lakota Rose | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gritty Kitty | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cuddle Me | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Petal Path | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blanco Brush | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twilight Warrior | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Just Blaze | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prairie Chief | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marvelous Sky | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Purr’s Along | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Your Race | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin M’konahay | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Riv | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Unscathed | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smoke ‘n’ Gloat | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Another Richie | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | River Cactus | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Go Oshie Go | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | What’s Up Dude | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Amazing Annie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Crackling Bread | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Daisical | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Anchored | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tango Rose | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’ve Got Issues | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Aura | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Endlessopportunity | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cloche | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Annie Cat | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itsagimme’s Girl | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Power | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Embarrassing | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lookin At Vanessa | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Logi | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Splashs Showbiz | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diastole | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Drama Run | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kleeve Edge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Jinx Johnson | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Don’t Tell Brandi | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cubs Win | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Running Vicky | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lucky At Justice | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ally Song | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Bold Cat | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ready to Fight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hide the Evidence | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Way | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zimmerman | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tambov | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cartiac Road | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Brett | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spectacular Act | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kielbasa | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stealthy Traveler | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Boyfriend Material | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Kitten a Gettin | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Real Story | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jimmy D | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | New Atlas | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wildscore | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Rizzo | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Antrim’s Giant | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speared | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kaitlin’s Warrior | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Donivan My Boy | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bold Friends | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Money | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Attain Success | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Togie | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Let’s Go Mick | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unbridled Ruler | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cloud to Ground | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Fame | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holycitys Miracle | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Mighty Man | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big O’s Tavern | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.