June 10, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Orcus | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Storming the Beach | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Prince Cheval | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Amberjack | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Azeg | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Under the Table | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | W W Distinction | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prudent Hero | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bulldog of Bergen | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Thomas | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Braden’s Position | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Im the Best I Know | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | City Position | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tims Hope | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Red Prince | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fabriana | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Warretta | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Her Wild Lifestyle | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Time | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lightup the Forest | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hoosessential | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hide the Honey | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jane’s Pride | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Risk E Lifestyle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Crafty’s Way | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sea Diva | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brown Eyed Blues | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Launch Away | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | U Turn the Page | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wind Cheater | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Meetmeforasmoke | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shaboom | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She’s Coal Fired | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Showersofblessings | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Saturday’s Song | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Three Cat Rules | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Hey | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | La Candelita | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rivzinthehouse | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Story | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barnyard Fiddler | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Exactness | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arrogant | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Greenhorn | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince Who | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Out of the Woods | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Moon Over Cabo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Greeley’s Demon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Allaire | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Lu Sea | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | She’sadowntowngirl | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Neuqua | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sugarsugarsugar | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Half of Manhattan | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Always a Catch | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | All Call | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Prue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dancing Rock | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Regal Kitten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Key to the Bridge | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Funny Questions | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Chas the Man | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Golden Gift | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Fleetway | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | He’s Dann Good | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.