June 9, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Purely Boy | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cheburashka | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pat’s Shoes | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empirestrikesagain | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Takin the Sloroad | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laflowmylaxbro | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hero of the Hour | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Proquestor | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Awesome Arion | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Maligator | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Truer Words | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zipzaptime | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Switheral | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mountain Momma | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Naples Lady | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valesia (FR) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meeka | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daddy Issues | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Draw It Now | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First Hoosier | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Checkmate Charlie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Starstruck Kitten | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Holly Field | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Battle N Away | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cairn | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Afleet Spring | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gentleman Richie | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | French Minded | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Black Tie Affair H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cammack | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Christian C | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’task Don’ttell | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Memory Bank | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fort Ridge | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Dixie | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Goddess of Kip | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss Bold Cat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Something Kinky | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Na Pali Spirit | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Glittering Jewel | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Shezahotmama | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Altered Mind | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Drinks On Me | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Straight Up Smarty | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Mike Spellman Memorial H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Goddess of Kip | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Loyree | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Prado’s Sweet Ride | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | One Liz | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreamofjean E. | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ima Little Kitten | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chlobee | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Buck Snort | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bayful | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Surf Shack | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Workingforaliving | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Demopolis | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Syrup | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skycraft | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Camalus | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dyna Ghost | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Solo Drink | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gran Duque | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Achiever | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Maxus | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Reap | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 6 | Hellofaguy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Desierto | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Sacred Legacy | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Vapor Viper | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | All Strikes | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wave On Wave | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Willow Ridge | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chas Tom | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Party On Dude | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.