June 8, 2018 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Owl | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fancy Fox | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jan One | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skamania | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Sister | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Socata | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Upstage | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cool Beans | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Luck | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Auntie’s the One | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princessof the Nyl | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Estrela Cadente | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lou’s Chardonnay | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Santino | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Verde | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sohni | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Hopper | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Therighttobeararms | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Imperial | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toy Moon | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Restless Rider | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seranitsa | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vegas Strong Baby | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Analyze This Cat | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ixtepec Town | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cape Time | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Puff | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Girl | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Devious Wish | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blues Corner | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Giavanna | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lost | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Holy Ekati | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Killay (GB) | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Remember Mama | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emmport | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Belle | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Decant | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mallory’s Channel | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fashion Runaway | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kitten’s Slew | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tizabreeze | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Take the Count | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Handsome Harve | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Allthewrongreasons | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The K W Shuffle | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catauga County | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Cade | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Macho Mon | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Heaven’s Creation | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Looks Super | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Paddys Class | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sapphire Jubilee | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Market Top | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Front Row Debbie | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Court of Love | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hotsy Dotsy | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trueamericanbeauty | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zena Rules | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Dark Secret | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shezappealing | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tempestuous Amy | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Valiant Lady | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amirite | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Leah Dee | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hello Linda | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Bay | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nile Show | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Union Obsession | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Pants Susie | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Nifty | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.