June 3, 2018 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Five O One | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Googleado (ARG) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dos Cuernos | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swamp Ruler | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mysterious Storm | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Coulee | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dance Rhythms | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cuddle Kitten | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unfading Beauty | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kiwi Cat | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Monkey | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Lisa | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Firehorn | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Triple Dog Dare | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Colonel’s Pride | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lielielie | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fidelis | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Edition | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Operator | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Arch of Troy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Life’s Blessings | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Figarella’s Queen | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wicked Lick | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lilt | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Follow No One | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Own Agenda | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dreamology | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zero Gravity | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cryogenic | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild About Candy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Overzealous | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Springs | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Somebody’s Beau | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | St. Denman | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapit City | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Purgenality | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Race Me Home (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hour City | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tiz Funny | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Campioni | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Finglas | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aviator Parks | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smart Remark | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angaston | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vitsal | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourne in Nixa | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Articulator | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charge the Line | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Florida Boys | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Munny Man | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Annapolis Class | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Ivy’s College Fund | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Compose | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Arcelor | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dustem Carolina | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Barbary Hall | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Chilean Queen | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Trick | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miz K | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hua Mulan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | She’s a Julie | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Princess Warrior | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rizzoli | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Good Creation | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Over Thinking | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Princess Power | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Love Sick Kitten | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Unbridled Rebel | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Burciaga | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Friends | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eagle River | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Believeinholidays | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Bad Zin | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hurry Back | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valycove | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.