June 3, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Blessed Union |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Regal Serenade |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Catkins |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
4 |
Salty Scatt |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
3 |
Lemon Drop Twist |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cheery Oats |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Zanforce |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thundering Richie |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vindicated Honor |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Trumpified |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Perfect Joe |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lakota Luke |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Moon Over Montana |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Normandy Crossing |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Hot Dad |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
6 |
Bold Rally |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
3 |
Creative Courage |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nun the Less |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
5 |
Mighty Manfred |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
Twenty Four Seven |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Happy Wanderer |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
7 |
Imposing Will |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
High Power |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sharing a Laugh |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Good Wishes |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Superstar Diva |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cassidy Ave |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Logi |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Last Surprize |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
I’m Royale |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Saturday’s Song |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Emily’s Entourage |
0.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Celtic Gold |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Para Vivir |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Greeleys Angel |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chosen Facts |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
R Four O One K |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Checkmate Charlie |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Prima Storm |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Return of the Rock |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Ferlin Husky |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Summer Castle |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bootleggin |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Amaroq |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Offlee Fun |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dumbmark |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Roar of the Lion |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
W W Russian Gold |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Contraction |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
11 |
10 |
Tapizone |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Miracle Mountain |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
12 |
11 |
Sea Rover |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Garey Park |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
Hannity |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
5 |
Yellow Wolf |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
9 |
And Won |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
3 |
2 |
Colonel Fred |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
6 |
Prison Padre |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
8 |
7 |
Maxi’s Taxi |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Lee’s Luck |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cast Iron |
1.60 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Assaulter |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Admiral Sean |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Greeleys Spirit |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
W W Distinction |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ready to Fight |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr D’s Way |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.