June 2, 2018 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | News Box | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hawk | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Kite | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Point | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Here’s Carlos | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ramblingrudyrags | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Whateverybodywants | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Salsa’s Return | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orpheus (ARG) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Funny Biz | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dingdingdingding | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tonedaddy | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eden Ridge | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Red Hot Rio | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Will | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C M Runaway | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Factor | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Old School | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Obtained | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Country Fast | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gran Red | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nuclear Option | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Abner | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Desire | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mutajaded | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forze Mau (VEN) | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taruca | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Undercover Lover | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pachinko | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Fort | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tofino | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awe Emma | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Rail | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cape of Honor | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Tell Marge | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Dollar Bill | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Freedom | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cherry Wine | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Krewe Chief | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapsolute | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Handsome | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Girl Factor | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glitznglamour | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miz Shelton | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Complimenti | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spark Joy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thesweetesttaboo | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cape Haze | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | As I Please | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Love Thy Kitten | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Victory Garden | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Meadow | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beau Belle | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bridaled Temper | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Stop Maria | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Broadway Duchess | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Kiss | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Long Gray Line | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Our Turn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Quality Rolls | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Mischief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | Solomini | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 2 | Mississippi | 0.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Limation | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Mr Freeze | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Come On Dover | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Fort Peck | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dreamzapper | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Giant Honor | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Aristides S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Saturday | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Crow | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chief Cicatriz | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wilbo | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Spree | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heartwood | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Tracer | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Mighty Beau Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Angaston | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cutler | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Morticia | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Restless Rambler | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 6 | Hogy | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Kid Perfect | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Long On Value | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Sonic Boom | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Fort Fortitude | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | The Critical Way | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.