June 2, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cerunnos |
0.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thunder Down Under |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sandbagger Al |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sharp Money |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sailor Brodee |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big O’s Tavern |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Under the Table |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
My Curby |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Electrifying |
1.60 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Peteizum |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Prize Native |
3.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
La Pinata |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Two Minute Man |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Dark Bloom |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Glory Train |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mongolian Time |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ghost Train |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Americanperfection |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
She’s Fine Tuned |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kuringai |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Raisedonrocknroll |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Danny B |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Pleasant Street |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Changn Fivehundred |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Macho Alpha |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sync O’Paddy |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kentucky Shine |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Two Nephews |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bartbaalu |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Addison Cammack Memorial H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
D’ Rapper |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Recount |
1.40 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Goneghost |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Devileye |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Purely Given |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Spectacular Road |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Normandy Crossing |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Fifth Thief |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Crewman |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Hot Dad |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
4 |
Spring Up |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Western Elegance |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Daddy’s Boo |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Little Baltar |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Isaac Murphy H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Dandy Gal |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Puntsville |
0.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Game Time Decision |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Church Road |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Go Lady Jay |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Delicate Lady |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Darling Sofia |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Countess St Michel |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dr Winn Kyi |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Tinderella |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Student Body Left |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
M C Squared |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Midnight Blue Note |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Jive Daddy |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
12 |
10 |
Bajan Rhythm |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Wake Up Joe |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spanish Justice |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Monday Pirate |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Welovecandy |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
6 |
Gray Mensch |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
10 |
9 |
Grey Mask |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Richie’slilwildcat |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gianna’s Gift |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Heidi’s Wish |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heavens Whisper |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Alex’s Bourbon |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smokin Hot Momma |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pocket of Candy |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Twin Deuce |
20.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pierette |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Jami Racer |
1.80 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Circuit Reboot |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
La Flor |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Track Magic |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Shez a Queenie |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Have the Facts |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rowdy N Pearls |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ice Princess Emily |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Compact Powder |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Splashs Showbiz |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.