May 28, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Urban Cool | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Four Left Feet | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rivzinthehouse | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hawk’s Image | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shanghai Red | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Iker | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Who | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Revolt | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Montana Kid | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Giant | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paddybdancing | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tempietto | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Expect Elprada | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slope | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bearing Secrets | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Fringe | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Have the Facts | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | She’s a Fine Line | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tomasita | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rain Expression | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wire Me Suerte | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lauren’s My Girl | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | U Turn the Page | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Applique | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tannah’blu | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kool Kate | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Launch Away | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | April Fifteenth | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ally Song | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | No Boundaries | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tigerbeach | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kid Mac Cool | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Trail | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purr’s Along | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Blaze | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valid Storm | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Party On Dude | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Peteizum | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Romeo Lima | 0.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flyingbyu | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Greenhorn | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Out of the Woods | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strong Response | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Savie | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Judge Money | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Sligo Poet | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Sharing a Laugh | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Appealing Allure | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Superstar Diva | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cassidy Ave | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Makada | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Issues | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Diamond | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Full Count | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Draw It Now | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Staria Peach | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quirky | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cloche | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meeka | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Belle Brezing | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chosen Facts | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Tapnfire | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sanilac | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Dozer | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Abigail | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Galehorn | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tam | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hurraca | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Appollos Baby Girl | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.