Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 26, 2018

May 26, 2018 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Etruscan 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mineyerownmalone 1.60 3 6-1
6 5 Awesome Gal 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Altito 2.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Snickerboxer 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Blame Angel 12.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nineteenth Street 2.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Shanghai Tariff 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Parol 4.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Thirteen Songs 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Annathela 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 I’mluckysgirl 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Keertana Overnight S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 La Manta Gris 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Daring Duchess 0.80 3 6-1
4 4 Creative Thinking 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Galilea 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Tweety Show 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Araminta 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Sunday Strait 50.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Five O One 4.00 SCRATCH
7 6 The Money Monster 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 El Charro 3.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Hammers Vision 10.00 4 8-1
9 8 Conquest Hiosilver 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Tarpys Zapper 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Sunny’s Rainbow 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Jazzy Times 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Izzy the Warrior 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Come On Dover 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Sky Promise 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Discovered 2.50 3 6-1
7 7 Family Kitten 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Potential Danger 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Mayo’s Bid 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Killeen 3.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Colonel Fred 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Toothpic 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Ghost Story 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Captain Cade 3.50 5 9-1
9 9 Buck Island Day 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Omen of Change 6.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Checkmark 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Bobby Jack 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Major Perfection 4.50 6.2 12-1
3 3 Berko 15.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Trooper Thorn 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Promissory Note 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lou’s Chardonnay 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Honor With Pride 3.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Golden Rose 3.50 3.4 7-1
6 6 Dance Rhythms 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Sohni 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Heavenly Hill 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Sea Shack 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Parking Ticket 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Triple Dog Dare 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Makeamericagreat 1.60 2.6 5-1
7 7 Finished 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Jailhouse Kitten 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Almoreb 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Sassy King 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Forbidden Kitten 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 El Capa Rojo 30.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Headsail 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Honorable Treasure 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Bold Prophet 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Gray Sky 3.00 4 7-1
6 6 Home Base 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Tap Master 5.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Portfolio Manager 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Bourbon Country 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Souper Smart 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Winning Colors S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miss Kentucky 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Golden Mischief 2.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Treble 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Golden Domer 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Pinch Hit 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Brave Daisey 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Sharky’s Ledger 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mercertown 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Gray Nile 12.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Elusive Hero 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 7 Mo Zone 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 6 Meistermind 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 1 Fireball Shot 3.50 4.6 9-1
11 9 Blasphemy 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 3 Rushin Tothecircle 10.00 6 11-1
6 4 Soul of the Hero 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 2 Delinquent 20.00 6.6 13-1
7 5 Alexandros 20.00 7.1 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.