May 25, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Armando’s Star |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Rivzinthehouse |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Hey Pretty Boy |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Superstar Leo |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
What’s Up Dude |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Half of Manhattan |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vbreeze |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
On the Lam |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Rake It Up |
1.20 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hide the Honey |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thecatisontheroof |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Longway Home |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hoosessential |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cuddle Me |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Petal Path |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Cuestion de Tiempo |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Boyfriend Material |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Navy Armed Guard |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jimmy D |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sir Anthony |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Garrison K |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Donivan My Boy |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Aiken to Be |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
One Liz |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Thoughtless |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Marquee Miss |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Heartspoke |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Mertie |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Side Pocket |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Takin the Sloroad |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
In the Chamber |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Resilient Rick |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Five Green Stars |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Diamondmaze |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Cowboy |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Chas the Man |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hesmakingabigscene |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Always a Catch |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Gentleman Richie |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Good Intent |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Candy Carlos |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
10 |
9 |
Shaban |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Greyt Oak |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Alazan Shiner |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Estragon |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Croce d’Oro |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Afleet Spring |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
Poddubny |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Summer Disco |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Slope |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Sudden Urges |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Way |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Broadway Brett |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cartiac Road |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Not Chopped Liver |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stealthy Traveler |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spectacular Act |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Carnoustie |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tambov |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hide the Evidence |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Tizway That Way |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Tinderella |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Black Angel |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Dreamofjean E. |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
5 |
Voluptuous |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
6 |
Goddess of Kip |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
11 |
8 |
Silvera |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
4 |
Chantses |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
3 |
Bubuzela |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
7 |
Chica Bonita |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Banjo Cat |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brewmistress |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Willow Ridge |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Smokin M’konahay |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Richiesgotswagger |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Prison Padre |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Marvelous Sky |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Wave On Wave |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Dancing Position |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Raisedonrocknroll |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
3 |
Gary Luke |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
2 |
Justenufftuff |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.