May 19, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Girl Downstairs | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Livy (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Bit Lovely | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lori’s Attitude | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Mongolian | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Mosey | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Luck’s Royal Flush | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Takahiro’s Dream | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carnivorous | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stormy Valentino | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Bingley | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Takeo Squared | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Image | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Park Hill Diamond | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Acclamation King | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Lil Champ | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Caray | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catfish Hunter | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Insubordination | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polity | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In My Sight | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Hail Marys | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Brandon’s Law | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | California Breeze | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | International Diva (IRE) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fluorescent | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Majestic Design | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Appeal | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Humor | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Conformation | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eye of the River | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trophy Bridle | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Trap Queen | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Be Held | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Myrcella | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oh Scatty Oh | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Diva | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pirate Flag | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red White ‘n Peach | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jewelof California | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Catalina Cruiser | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swiss Minister | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stringent | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Horse Greedy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tony Blackjack | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Best Two Minutes | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Samson | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Munny | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jimmy Chila | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rumpus Cat | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Englander | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Facts Matter | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Capall | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Implicitly | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alfareed | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | So Long Sailor | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highly Distorted | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California King | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Littlebitamedal | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Worthy Turk | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Classic | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kochees | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Turf | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coastline | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ketos | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eighty Three | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Papa Papa | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Burn Me Twice | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bargaining | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Fran’s Valentine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moonless Sky | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | How About Zero | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shy Carmelita | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Barbara Beatrice | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Steel | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cordiality | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cheekaboo | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speakers | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halo Darlin | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lynne’s Legacy | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coco Kisses | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Wager | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Nova | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | North County Guy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | For the Hustle | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bless His Heart | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iron Curtain | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Poise to Strike | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geocas Dream | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Ballad | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cyclolite | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brite Sierra | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Calie View | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ike Walker | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Downtowner | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Thirty Five | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kid Charming | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Arch Prince | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheer Flattery | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swayze | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spokane Eagle | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Duper Cooper | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Mystery | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Plum Dandy | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crown the Kitten | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secreto Primero | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | General Ike | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Aventador (FR) | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broken Up | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trifecta | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yes Yes Yes | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Soul | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ky. Colonel | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Most Determined | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Los Gatos | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.