Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 18, 2018

May 18, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Gone to Austin 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Dancingwthdaffodls 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Osare 3.50 SCRATCH
7 5 Too Cool to Dance 1.00 2.3 4-1
5 3 Striking Damsel 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Amazing Audrey 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 4 Too Many Kittens 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 2 Windjammer (GER) 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hangman 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 Turnstyle 12.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Point to Remember 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 7 Merger of Banks 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Inflection Point 2.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Home Run Maker 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Hot Sriracha 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Showcase Mall 3.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Pawn It Back 30.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Know Point Given 12.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Seam 1.40 2.4 5-1
6 5 Gentle Annie 20.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Astrology Hill 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Shanghai Glory 2.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Tiffany’s Vision 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Buy for Less 8.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Expected Ruler 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 King of New York 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Natural Order 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Shamcat 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Forest Blue 12.00 SCRATCH
10 5 Old Upstart 3.00 2.5 5-1
11 6 Lucky Ramsey 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 1 Karma Delight 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 4 Donji 6.00 4 8-1
7 3 Getoffmyback 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 2 Doyouknowsomething 6.00 5.3 10-1
12 7 Poshsky 8.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Takechargedelilah 1.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Karen’s Gem 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Stay Fond 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Miss Mimosa 1.60 3.7 7-1
2 2 Take Charge Tina 6.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Amber Dancer 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Louisiana Lady 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Havana Affair 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Saratoga Treasure 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Wantagh Queen 10.00 SCRATCH
13 8 Ribbonite 4.00 2.8 5-1
12 7 Forever Daisy 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Wegetsdamunnys 4.50 4 7-1
4 4 Citizen Matzo 3.50 4.3 8-1
8 6 Dreams Are Pazible 8.00 4.5 9-1
14 9 Cats Halo 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Trouble for Skylar 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Rock Ave. Road 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Carry Your Heels 15.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Saida 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Total Control 1.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Just Got Out 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Crimson Frost 2.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Thais (FR) 0.60 2.1 4-1
6 4 Esquisse (GB) 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 1 Jumby Bay 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 3 Dolce Lili 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Annie Rocks 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 My Girl Annie 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Daria’s Angel 2.00 3 6-1
7 7 Mercurian 4.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Tee Up 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Impazible Creek 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 She’sakittykat 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Rapid Route 15.00 6.6 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.