May 17, 2018 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Fearthefalcon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Here’s Johnny | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Came Back | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Arizona Baby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Supersecret | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Flyingtobechilders | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Scrapple | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Tam Tam Attack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 5 | King’s House | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | I Wanda Win | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Final Forum | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Poised for Action | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Triple Black Jack | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Williamsburg | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Pacific Ridge | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Factor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | I Got Class | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Crazy Wild Bill | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Patriot Saint | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Shoot the Gap | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stay On Point | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sventastic | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Freedom Storm | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Rigged | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kingdom Minded | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dangerous Dan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Party Regent | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Mutaraamy | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | White Missile | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Schianti | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Out At Eight | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Kaboom | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Colonel Andy | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Argento | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Anonym | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mr. Louis | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sip of Sunshine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Montana Sunset | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Markeesa | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Refunds | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Helen Sung | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Margie Is Livid | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Del’s Beauty | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orenda | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Uhwarrie Sky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kitten’s Beauty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Godlovesasinner | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Amplify | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 11 | Clearly Super | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | English Tudor | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Praise the Moon | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr McGinty | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Upper Crown | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jorrin | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sir Douglas | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Imaginar | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bustoff | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Done Acting | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bombonero | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | To Blave | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cash Exchange | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Crawford | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Meo Desperado | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Walk | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swingstage | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Archie’s Revenge | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Birdies Honor | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lettersfromdublin | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 13 | Escapade | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | My Diva | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 16 | Off the Bourbon | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Street Appeal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Holiday Time | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Forest Lass | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Miss Monk | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Goodnight Moon | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Reality Queen | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Bellerue | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Isoclone | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gardencity Gambler | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Lady Loose | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Palsy Walsy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Keepupthemessage | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dorothy Vaughan | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Threes Over Deuces | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Legit | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moonlight Shadow | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | American Lincoln | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zig Zillion | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Felix in Fabula | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lonely Weekend | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crouchelli | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Kierland | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | A Rose by Any Name | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Whynotwyatt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Poplar Avenue | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Seeking the Sunset | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ay Carumba | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Flying Crusader | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fort Brandy | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quickhatch | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fear the Reaper | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Settle All Scores | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Doctor Padmore | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slams Crossing | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.