Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 17, 2018

May 17, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Carlisle Belle 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Stop Thinking 1.40 3.1 6-1
5 5 Little Nanny 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Forever Rising 4.00 4 7-1
1 1 Consubstantial 4.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Sweet Breeze 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Strike Play 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Outshine 0.80 3 6-1
6 6 Kitchen Soup 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Flashgun 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Rhythmia 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Gump 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Favorable Outcome 1.60 2.2 4-1
5 5 Hoffenheim 2.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Classy Class 2.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Recruiting Ready 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Candid Desire 12.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 With Exultation 1.40 SCRATCH
10 10 Mobridge 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 High Moon 1.60 SCRATCH
6 6 Manifest Destiny 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Cody’s Notes 8.00 SCRATCH
7 3 Becker’s Galaxy 2.00 2 4-1
9 5 Pegasus Red 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 2 Jet Black 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 4 Kerry Boy 30.00 3.7 7-1
4 1 Taoiseach 5.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Full Salute 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Very Very Stella 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Morning Buzz 1.20 3.5 7-1
6 6 Daddy D T 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 All Star Red 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Toga Challenger 12.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Deeply Undervalued 0.80 SCRATCH
4 4 Baseline 6.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Acoustic 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Brianbakescookies 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 5 Scatoga 30.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Pirate Beach 12.00 4 7-1
5 3 River of Dreams 15.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pas de Deuce 2.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 A Song for Sue 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Scripted 5.00 4 7-1
5 5 Sophie N 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Anne’s Song 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Mrs. Orb 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 The Great Johanna 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Awsum Roar 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Avery Maeve 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tiffanys Freud 20.00 SCRATCH
8 5 Mahabodhi Tree 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Angel Food 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Transaction Tax 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 4 Gypsy Janie 12.00 3.8 7-1
9 6 Mo Flash 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Ruby Warrior 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tom’s Music 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Heza Kitten 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Power Boss 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Stock Trade 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Can Do Anything 12.00 SCRATCH
15A 15 Moneigh Moproblems 3.50 SCRATCH
9A 9 High Promise 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Freeload 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Lil Commissioner 8.00 SCRATCH
8 4 Generalist 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 3 Gravitating 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Spring On Curlin 10.00 3.7 7-1
13 6 Never Nevermore 20.00 4.3 8-1
12 5 Hoard 30.00 4.3 8-1
5 2 Full of Hope 15.00 4.5 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.