May 13, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Sky Logan | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cosa Nostra (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dignitaire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Desolation Sound | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Haylord | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tequila Blanco | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roaring Fork | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Original Intent | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Typhoon Harry | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Get Yourself Home | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marjorie E | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Outcome | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunrise Royale | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Sophie Grace | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nana’s Rule | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cinnamon Twist | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uno Trouble Maker | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger Mom | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Avail | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Juliet | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Allaboutmike | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sycamore Lane | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Royal Opera House (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Skelton Pass | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Storminside | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Mr. Opportunist | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No More Talk | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Papa G | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Secret Offer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dee Way to Go | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veiled Heat | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cheyenne Dancer | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Nicole | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Calimonco Action | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Alchemist | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cali Rocks | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Soot | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s a New Year | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jump the Tracks | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Write Me a Song | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jack and I | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | June Two Four | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skagit River | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Amore | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mongolian Groom | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rebel Vow | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Chewy | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fabozzi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Roary | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beach View | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Twentytwentyvision | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lifeline | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ritzy A. P. | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bird Is the Word | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Multiplier | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Saint Dermot | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hackleton | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awe | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giant Mark | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reverend Al | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chromium | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Limited Response | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harrovian | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Elevate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Indian Gulch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Impression | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kopitar | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Amazon Cry | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Starting Bloc | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hoover Tower | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Maxinamillion | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | He’s Like Violence | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.