May 12, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Biggest Littlecity | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Our Sarge | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | More Mia | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Igo Forgreatness | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Starship Mars | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Red | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beneficiary | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cantaclaro | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Monkey Money | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monday Pirate | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bonterra | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dexter | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Transitive | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Weisser | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Moment | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Agent | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Super Lucky | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Pinnacle | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cuchito | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Digits | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devilish Man | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sub Factum | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A B G Guerrero | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toms Chuchu | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magnificent Promis | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kris Me Deadly | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Our Amazing Grace | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tender Value | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Bun Bun | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hold On Emma | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Perfect Fox | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | April Fool’s Lady | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Power Jak | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Riomar | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Peacfulwarriorgirl | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Deputy Czar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | The Mighty Judge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | The Green Mo’ster | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | King Orb | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yawl Lyin | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pass the Butter | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shiny Copper Penny | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Honor Indy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yesus Star | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King’s Dream | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Diplomatic Affair | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Winning for Sarah | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cotton Tooyah | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bitacora | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Two Step Blues | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pop’s Irish Rose | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sober On Sunday | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pure One | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Darling | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Got Glee | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Soiree | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Weekend Mischief | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Treasure for Gold | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Four K’s | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lil’ Smartiepants | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Whippersnapper | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Embers | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nacho Papa | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Loudon’s Song | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goldenlineof | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gator Fifty Two | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chinomado | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Arba | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Star Juancho | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baba Tobi | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dunk | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bar Down | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tomater Gator | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Tiger | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stone Heart | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Secret | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Decisive Force | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | W W Concerto | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Browns Gap | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moonlight Bandit | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ship Disturber | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Illustrious Son | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marrakech | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Leo | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gadsby Tavern | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ned Devine | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed At Mass | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Athlone | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Nonno Nino | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Going to the Beach | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Steps to Toga | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Baby Driver | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chief White Sox | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Knucklehead | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Davids Boy | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Chanchi | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Spike | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Padre | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz a Factor | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Big Drama S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kroy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Three Rules | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Jordan | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deland | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweetontheladies | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quijote | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hy Riverside | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Herecomestheghost | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Little Tita | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Miss Casuarina | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Jubilant | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Surprise | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Love Again | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Diamonds | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Weallhavechanged | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | White Beauty | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kittian Hill | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Divine Diva | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Sue | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bozzineta | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.