May 11, 2018 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rob’s Pal | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Crooked as Can Be | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dakota Candy | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Flit N Flot | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | City All Star | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Be Grateful | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ornamental Iron | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chasenthisdream | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Michelle’s Grace | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Key Rosie | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hep to Go | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Fury | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ari Gia | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gallopingguinness | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Code of Justice | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thorny Issue | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bluebird Ridge | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haulin’ Freight | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Theboyfromjersey | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kaspian Warrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Idont Know Hisname | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Dreamin the Dream | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Dansmere | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Counsil | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dareandaprayer | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dunkirks Song | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Votto | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Including All | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Saraab | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | I’ve Got Heart | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Coconut Ice | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Moon Unit | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Harkins Hall | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mustang Eddie | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Atta Kid | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light Bound Bid | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Chrome | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dynabeaver | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kit Check | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rulzrmadetobbroken | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Gold Maker | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vision’s Reward | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shackette | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shimmering Dream | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Have to Go | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Voodoo | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire to Rain | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Violation | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bossy Em | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Songatmidnight | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jeri Bella | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paste | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oh Dear Lord | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soliloquy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Walking Solo | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Day Early | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smoky Dreams | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Storm | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jerf | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzle Em Hickory | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twenty Bucks | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mt. Candy Land | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie’s Chrome | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.