May 11, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Southern Sea | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Twistcat Candy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Gemstorm | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hardened | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Smiling Mason | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Long Blade | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Our Boss | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wild Force | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | City Roc | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Helen Virginia | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peart | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Optimistic Shot | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Return | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grace B | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tikitaca | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High End Lady | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Appealing Lalibela | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Semblance of Order | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woodburn | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Il Faraone | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Money Train | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hangry | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sailer’s Companion | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. G T | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mario’s Revenge | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Contessa | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scatnap | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lexi’s Doll | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Untrue | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreaming of Aca | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amaluna | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tormenta de Oro | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Asian Moonlady | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colorincolonel | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | German Alberto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Davids Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Tendowningstreet | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Spring Joy | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | El Taur | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Remsenburg | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kikinboy | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Resistance Jak | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Run for the Cup | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Salute and Serve | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Johnny Junior | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Life After Fourty | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Zing Zing | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Disruptor | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | African Chief | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time Will Tell | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Champion | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steve’s Sonata | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saturado | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gitgo | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Oh My Warrior | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Unikat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cometin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Trouble in Phoenix | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fuel the Bern | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Til the End | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ox Bro | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sahara Storm | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Possible | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Golden Away | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Could Be | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silent Tiger | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Take Your Place | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Super Sermon | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fortune Cookie | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | So Sublime | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fafa | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Strings | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Holiday | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Real Fast Music | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Manolete | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Joshua’s Comprise | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dancin in the Heat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Famous Fact | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Eddie E | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gray Dude | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jojo’s Dream | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Il Biondo | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Logic | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Always a Dreamer | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Return | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kris Me Deadly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Porta Ponti | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Stun | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shidoshi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kid Kantharos | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Ours Dream Fly | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gran Malbec | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Aghost to the Post | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Miss Paddy | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pekin | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Lovingrdsimmar | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly by You | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.