May 10, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Noelle | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Zarabanda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Nothins Free | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Helen Rose | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Golda | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sammie Sunshine | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Forty Kilos | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Member | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Magnato Go | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tropicality | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Fresh | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Expect an Entry | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lydia’s Way | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kitzel Park | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Defender | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lexi’s Doll | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Coquivacoa | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Competitive Player | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Roller | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Italian Smile | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | There Goes Bella | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Bliss | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Cotton Jen | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nikki Bella | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Harlem | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Sweat | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Faith N Hope | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Distinction | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She Takes Heart | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Three Illusions | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doritza | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Not Nice | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Discreet Gal | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love and Lemons | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ash Flower | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Girl Gone | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | All in Girl | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Emerald | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Rosie | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drinks On Maggie | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Venezuelan Spirit | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vino de Pago | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Validity | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nile Princess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Nightstorm | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Diplomatic Affair | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Winning for Sarah | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Cajun Queen | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Patient Digna | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lamontagne | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lapantalones Fance | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Prado Vision | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wild Chatter | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Final Flurry | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vinyardnina | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mighty Patient | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Image of Rachel | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Cotton Rose | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Avocado Toast | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mardi Gras Girl | 0.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lailoni | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Treasured Info | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | First Time Proud | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Park | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Precocious Miss | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jolie Bay | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Global Beauty Coco | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Legacy to Gold | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Touch of Quality | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mercurial Miss | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Cordele | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Meant Tobe Mine | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Eila | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Unbridled Courage | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sly Roxy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Y’all | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Christina | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Chinumado | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Front Loaded | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Small Fortune | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barry Karafin Bets | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reason to Soar | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Twenty and Four | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Best Candy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quinientos | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thanks God | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Fun and Games | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Iana | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Perfect State | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bright Venezuelan | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Delicious Pursuit | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rahy Momenta | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wishfully | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wild in Red | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dancing Gia | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mucho Media | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wiggle It Jiggleit | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dixie Grits | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Lotus Flower | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.