May 10, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Fixit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Regalian | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Vegas Kitten | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lusitano | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Zap Daddy | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Up the Ante | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Penalty | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | The Queens Jules | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Houseer | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hexameter | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Isotope | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frau Blucher | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pray for Bourbon | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gypsy Jo | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Problem Solving | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leah’s Dream | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Get Game | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Conquest Bandit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Diplodocus | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Major Force | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cavallotto | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | On Patrol | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miles of Humor | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Best Surprise | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bartleby | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dooley | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Champagne Event | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Save the Sangria | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Proletariat | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Forward Motion | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Prophet’s Cat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Outrageous Bet | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Elenzee | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Summer Mischief | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Peculiar Sensation | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | River Knight | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Catch a Cab | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Callant | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wondermeister | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Luzinski | 50.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cats Halo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Clairvoyant Lady | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smile Big | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maddizaskar | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Madame Barbarian | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Fond | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Woundwithhereyes | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Archumybaby | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Walk of Fame | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Starlite Mission | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Union Patriot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Grand Banks | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | New Pass | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Theaterintheround | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spring Drama | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quietly Quick | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chestnut Street | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Zecha | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Danielle’s Pride | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gabriella | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bourbon High | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fancycase | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hatteras Bound | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Sparty Boy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fillet of Sole | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kenyan | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond the Green | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One More Round | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lost Iron | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Caniform | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Full of Mine | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Undercover Agent | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Frostie Anne | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Rubilinda | 0.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Amabilis (GB) | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Stacy | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Weekfair (FR) | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boreale | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mo Knows | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Great Soul | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Anydayismyday | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Theorem | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Flash Me Not | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Naturel (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Samara | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Attaining | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Goldmakesmesmile | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ragtime Suzy | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kickin Kimberly | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Curl | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Adam’s Eve | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beyondelle | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | J C S Star | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abeja Negra | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.