May 5, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Captain Hardship |
1.80 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Maynooth |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kodachi |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Goodluckjohnathan |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Admiration |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Peace of Ekati |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sun Bahram |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Out At Eight |
1.60 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Took Over |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mutaraamy |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cannon’s Roar |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Self Start |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Voo Dude |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Springtime Wind |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Missworldvenezuela |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Zensational Dancer |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Conjecture |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Madame Curie |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Dixie Rose |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Sweethearted |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
So Royal |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Pira |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Imaginar |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Take Warning |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
In Him With Him |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Punch Your Brother |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sir Brahms |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Noregretsfornow |
4.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bad Angle Burke |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Change Is Coming |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Bye Bye Blues |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Little Laughs |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
9 |
Royal Katy |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jokers Tothe Right |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sudden Hope |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rithm and Rap |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Real Lefty |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
It’s a Doozy |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hip Hop |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Patriotic Heart |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Double Down Donna |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Union Blues |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sir Bond |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gotham News |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Social Media |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pleiadian |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
El Grillo |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brute Force |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
O Captainmycaptain |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Star Eighty |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Bring Me Answers |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Peach of a Gal |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nickyrocksforpops |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Ghoul’s Night Out |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
8 |
Participate |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Scat Gal |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Irish Access |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Eighty Six Mets |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Firth |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bay of Cats |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Queen to Checkmate |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Trafficplan |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Whyyouask |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Rockin Ruth |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Splendor Gal |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Chancee |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Aunt Esther |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Marvelous Days |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Gingeresk |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
What the Beep |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Holiday Hopes |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bagels and Lox |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Wolverette |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dendrobia |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
War Tweet |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Louise |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
13 |
12 |
Flyingontheground |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kuznetsov |
12.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cut Time |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Persian Polly |
12.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bodella |
15.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
People’s Champ |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Stephen’s Answer |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
7 |
Sir Alfred |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
5 |
Royal Crusader |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Roethlisberger |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
Chargin Storm |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Southern Barbecue |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
3 |
Legend’s Hope |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
4 |
Visual Effect |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Socially Driven |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Stardoza |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Riley’s Choice |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Do What I Say |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dance Queen |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
7 |
Passionate Emotion |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
8 |
Keep Your Distance |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wise Gal |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Discreet Deceit |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
6 |
Misschief Maas |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Lonely Drifter |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Wise Trade |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Pictura |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Wee Monie Creek |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Ms. Picadilly |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Bestdayofmylife |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Egber |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Virginia Fable |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
12 |
9 |
Corinthian Sho Grl |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
13 |
10 |
Rein Supreme |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
Scip It All |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
7 |
Bella Nora |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Glittering Judy |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Say Yes to Me |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
8 |
Simmarde’s View |
30.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rosie o’ Darlin |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.