May 5, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Venezuelan Forever |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Be Kind |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Fast Mama |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Scottish Sky |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Grace’s Drama |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
6 |
Sipmychardonnaynae |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
4 |
Little Baby Bella |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
5 |
Psycho Girl |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
3 |
Callie California |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Misty Phyllis |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Three Star Stone |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dance Around |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yo No Se |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bluegrass Envy |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Judith’s Sunset |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Octopythius |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Private Bellamy |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bonus Card |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Moon Lover |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Hail to the King |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Accumulator |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Marquee Moon |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Accountant Q |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Game Day Drama |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rumbago |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
King Wade |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Abbot |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grand Jr |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Majestic Tom |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gran Saman |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zhukov |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Smart Dude |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cosmic Flash |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tempter |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Chatiment |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
To Dare |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Indian Scout |
4.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cheech Thunder |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
King Power |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Amaluna |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sanfilipo |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Quenane |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sambrook Edge |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – English Channel S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
He’s Bankable |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nauti Buoy |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Renaisance Frolic |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scrapper |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shana Tova |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Paradise Island |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zippy |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Crime Dog |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rider of the Blue |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Little Shackleford |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cape Marco Drive |
4.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blake’s Lucky Star |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Home Power |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Perfect Bonus |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quiet Jimmy |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Elastico |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Cousin Tino |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Menehune |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Too Stormy |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Get a Move On It |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Coco Is Loco |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Uncle Pepe |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Offshore Trip |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Foolish Prince |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
12 |
11 |
Southern Cal |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Motatan |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Golden Away |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Burton |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Clemson and Watson |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Giant’s Voice |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Starship Zorro |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Martini Kid |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Flashy Chelsey |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ray’s The Bar (GB) |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mambo At the Gym |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bingo Bango Bongo |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
McIlroy |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Moonlight Bandit |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gotsomemojo |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Powerline |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spin Cycle |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Best Concert |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Panzer Barcelona (VEN) |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Imperial Warrior |
30.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Cowtown Spirit |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Forty’s Sweetheart |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Loving Valentina |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Didnotmeanit |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Beautyofaday |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Milbra |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Princess Knoll |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Indominus |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Arch Legacy |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cuckoo Kenia |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Honey Ryder S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Classy Dancer |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sister Sunday |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Legend Emma (IRE) |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Camila Princess |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Favorite Gift |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
American Frolic |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Malibu Saint |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Champagne Diva |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Dream Saturday |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Journey’s End |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sonido |
3.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mitos Y Leyendas |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ravelo’s Boy |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cotton Colors |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jaiden’s Best |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Beaukati |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Runaway Bull |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dattts Arties Boy |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.