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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 4, 2018

May 4, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Storm Hawk 0.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Flying Ghost 0.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Eradicator 0.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Little Deuce Coupe 0.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Night Watchman 0.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Red Chill 0.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Silent Flash 0.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Majestic Fever 0.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Front Nine 0.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Spanish Express 0.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Lillz Pearl 0.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Rio Norte 0.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sayyestoxcelence 0.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Londie Lou 0.00 2.9 5-1
5 4 Magic Skys 0.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Bella Fabiana 0.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Hockey Hair 0.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Hansen’s Girl 0.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Night Gathers (IRE) 0.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Desert Poem 0.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Sams Destiny 0.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Shaunessy 0.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Lake Manitou 0.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Sweet Silent Soul 0.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Diamond Vision 0.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Angelical 0.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sweet City Woman 0.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Geocentric 0.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Britannia Penny 0.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Benadette’s Lady 0.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Capture Your Heart 0.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Priddy Fair 0.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Lake Marion 0.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Wolverina’s Willa 0.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Veil 0.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Two Tribes 0.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Fire Angel Mikaela 0.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Lady Bella 0.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 One Moment in Time 0.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Biondetti’s Choice 0.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Beth’s Aurora 0.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Irish Teardrop (GB) 0.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Everglow 0.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Adios Muchacho 0.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Silent Jet 0.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Waterkloof 0.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Strike Me Down 0.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Blakey 0.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Unbounded Spirit 0.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 L. A. House 0.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Safe to Say 0.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Savannah Roxanna 0.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Meet You At Home 0.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Midnight Flash 0.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Fairy Hill 0.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Split the Sea 0.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sent From Heaven 0.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Souper Shenanigan 0.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Desolator 0.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Gold Backed 0.00 5 10-1
6 6 Western Trouble 0.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Brasstown 0.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Viewfinder 0.00 6 11-1
3 3 Esken 0.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Alternate Truth 0.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Honig 0.00 8.5 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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