May 4, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Merittris | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Quant Savant | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Time for Kisses | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Awepollonia | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rolinga | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Derby Royalty | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Salvation | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lady Mamba | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jazaalah | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You Missed It | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unaffordable U | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meal Ticket | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blossom Trail Miss | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Lemon Drop | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | D D’s Lute | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Princess Areni | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vinaka | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Purdue | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Down Now | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond of Value | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dark Energy | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swinging Star | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Troutman | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Builder | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Topgallant | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Like Rhett | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | This Town | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Accreditation | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Van Lingle Mungo | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s a Tiger | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Junior Gilliam | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bargaining | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Louden’s Gray | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rocky’s Show | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Preacher Roe | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Tovar | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Green | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leroy | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Insubordination | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ibon | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taco Tuesday | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Informality | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Summer | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Allie’s Love | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Net | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Myrcella | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bonneville Flats | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chiefs Lil Pearl | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Innyminniemineymoe | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mama’s Kid | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stone Hands | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kidmon | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Most Amusing | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Serengeti | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Argosy Fleet | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grazen Sky | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Del Mar Babe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Loving Moment | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spiel | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Himmah (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pacific Strike | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Into Glamour | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chiffon | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fashion Brand | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Signora (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Resolu | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aha | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.