May 4, 2018 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ragnaar Rules | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just in Flash | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jake Did It | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance for Ransom | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jdub’s Jet | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flight Cash | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Free Music | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tebow Time | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hillbilly Royalty | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Blooded Song | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Contrip | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thunderupalley | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cultivate | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Secret Trip | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Good Old Lunch Box | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Black Is Expensive | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Steviesgoldenchild | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A. K. Claghorn | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be Stormy | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hotfoot | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guska Mon Shoes | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Yen | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sonny Smack | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Husker Red | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marine Pilot | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Factor Me In | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Intercession | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | We’ve Got to Talk | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seattle Firm | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dazzling Lion | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lolo | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girl of the Rockys | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Esperanza | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Summer King | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rob’s Pal | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Private Time | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crooked as Can Be | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Susan’s Reward | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Walker’s Way | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Headed Jerry | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Missguts Has Speed | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Holdthatlove | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Proposal | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stina | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Octavia Hill | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Icy Dawn | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Darion’s Dream | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Richie the Bull | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Apprehender | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wings Locked Up | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Choir Director | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indexical | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Molleck | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Womanizing Willie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Shimmering Dream | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aceituna | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sally’s Hat | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Queans Altar | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cinnfully Loud | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | After Red Sun | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sisters Heart | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Indi Buxton Storm | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.