May 4, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Monday Pirate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Lost for Words | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Diddley | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pay Any Price | 0.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | R Cat Daddy | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Billy the Bull | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Very Colorful | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dahlonega | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | R Little Secret | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Dawn Lightning | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oscura | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barbados Kitten | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Super Witch | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wanda Girl | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sound of the Tap | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Travy Boy | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A B G Guerrero | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Journey to Heaven | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Mischief | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovingrdsimmar | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nocatee | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dance With Macho | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Class | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Wave | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Memorize | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Duquesa | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sound Defence | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesomendensome | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cordele | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hug a Tree | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Danessa Again | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take a Stroll | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rare Integrity | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Valerie First | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Benji | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Drink of Water | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Banco Negro | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Michael | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mad Luther | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosas for Jimmy | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Noguez | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Teri’s Big Heart | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Amaluna | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Conquest Dynasty | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pat M’s Image | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Plein Air | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Swapl | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Sophia’s Star | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mi Cuaima | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Schmiss | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | War Pipe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bay Hill | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | False Accusation | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Treasure | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | T’s Southern Dude | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marnesia One Step | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kyle’s Boy | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mascarpone | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broadcast Time | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Inhibition | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Fridge | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Affluential | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jai Blue | 1.40 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miago | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agujero | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Global Hero | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Admiral Jimmy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Coquivacoa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mobeautiful | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bird of Peace | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fergielicious | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Touch of Quality | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Celtic Moonlight | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salsalida | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Easy to Say | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ever So d’Wild | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Momenta Kat | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Temple | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Untruthful Sonnet | 1.40 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Michelle’z Laugh | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Surely Temple | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Una Luna | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Karlies Baby | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shellshackup | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bandida Rags | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.