May 4, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cool Man Cletus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 4 | Flat Rate | 0.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wrath | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fix Me a Sandwich | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3B | 3 | Waynes Footsteps | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Social Fan | 0.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2B | 2 | Herbies Toys | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chattel | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Northernstreetgal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Salty Smile | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | La Piu Bella | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Dame | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Giant Boxer | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blissful Breeze | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Simona | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hyndford | 0.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lutheran Rags | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Infield Is In | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Power | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Binkster | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweeping Vista | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hardly Mate | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mistress Ofthedark | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hoponthebusgus | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edisto Island | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miko | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lion in Wait | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B Three | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sower | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Posse Needed | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stormy’s Song | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bow Town Cat | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Everybody Loves Me | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Andesine | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fiduciary Values | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Award | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Presumptuous | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oozle | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Cash | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sansibar Jewel | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surging Tide | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fingerpaint | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wild About Deb | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Harlan’s Hunch | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Have Another | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Benefactor | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Compagno | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Daddy’s Home | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Super Dude | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Gorse | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Flat Out S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Watershed | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mills | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Harlan Punch | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Scuba | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Zanotti | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Study | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Carlino | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backsideofthemoon | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Italian Syndicate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Curtis | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Toohottoevenspeak | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Set the Trappe | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fratello Del Nord | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chosen One Elijah | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holding Aces | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heaven’s Runway | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.