May 3, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | True Loyalty | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Platinum Equity | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Musketier | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Primo Touch | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honeymoonz Over | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Samdar | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Git On Your Pulpit | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Johnny Ray | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Extreme Heat | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Bad Gary | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Severin | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Black Storm | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiki Bar Logic | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Nati | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Party Hostess | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gemini Journey | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ransomed | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’sluckythatway | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hotsy Dotsy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Khaleesi (BRZ) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rooms | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Looking At Thelake | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Road Test | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Instinctual Kash | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oh Scatty Oh | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | So Golden | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lostintranzlation | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Donut Girl | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starr of Quality | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Bee to You | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silverspun Pickup | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapitha Bonita | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Joeray | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lipster | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Royal Trump | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Don’t Stalk Me | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gringo Star | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Optic | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Curly’s Mark | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pachi the Grey | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Arms Runner | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bombard | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cimpl Man | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fly to Mars | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ann Arbor Eddie | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tristan’s Trilogy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Acceptance | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brandothebartender | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conqueror | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heather’s Wish | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pray for Corday | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Sea Glass | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mongolian Rahy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Teen Angel | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Spacerika | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Complete Discreet | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bragging Rights | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | A Little Romance | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Daisy’s Stormcat | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mongolian Princess | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.