May 3, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Paper Over Plastic | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Day Trader | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nina’s Patience | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bright Venezuelan | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Hidden Gem | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome On Feet | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Can You See Me | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Horner Man | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Archvillain | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie the Greek | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Blood | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Rock | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Karate Jack | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystical Myles | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | All Golden | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super G Six | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gilded Drama | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Giant | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dig In | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Simmardstrike | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Iron Johnny | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Shidoshi | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brandt | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sub Factum | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | French Accent | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shackleson | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Russian Wine | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | King Mauro | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger Paw | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Papillon | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stay On Base | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Fire | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Sultana | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perp | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Kitt | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Rock | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ray’swarrior | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Chesney | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Hours (BRZ) | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moonwalker | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shoshone Brave | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dudacity | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prospectively | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Questions | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mauras Forever | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rate of Return | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soldat House | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indy Contender | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady and Me | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Biamonte | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Indygita | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fearless Princess | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bar Libre (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Voila La Victoire (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Feed Me Carats | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Unspoken | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madison Blues | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Swiss Alps | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Patientexchange | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into the Stars | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bring Joy | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tegla | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tropiclikeitshot | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gracias Adios | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tijuana Dancer | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon of the Nile | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.